There is a
veritable multitude of opportunities in the current low interest rate environment
for industry policy to advance the nation’s capability by way of government
borrowings to fund a variety of industry partnerships with later opportunities for
export spin offs, particularly into our Asia region.
What is needed I think is a long term plan for the nation in determining what industries have the greatest potential for assistance and to make available publically the underlying assumptions that justify such projects so that it forms a national narrative subject to public scrutiny.
What is needed I think is a long term plan for the nation in determining what industries have the greatest potential for assistance and to make available publically the underlying assumptions that justify such projects so that it forms a national narrative subject to public scrutiny.
What can be expected from
the government, is an industry paper detailing assumptions about future
anticipated gains in productivity and improved workplace participation and
income that would exceed the cost of borrowing. Those assumptions should also be
subject to audit scrutiny to afford continuing good governance. My thoughts are
such large scale investment, much more that could be properly justified by our small
market would be necessary, possibly also involving some further concessions, in
order to be competitive, but whose recoupment would be ensured with further joint
ventures.
Hence I think we can overcome our limited market size in Australia with
investment in facilities supportive of the wider market incorporating our
neighbouring region, particularly China. This, of course, involves some risk
and inevitable revision, but the risk of dong nothing is much greater.
What I envisage is a five pronged
policy framework which might conceivably involve, (A) Feasibilities into industries
to attract initial concessions with long term productivity gains assessed in
excess of the cost of borrowing (B) building or manufacture of facilities
funded from government debt, (C) operate and then develop into a private public
system, (D) recoupment of seed funding and transfer of some ownership to joint ventures,
(E) subsequent spin offs and export of systems or further joint ventures. Bear in mind the Chinese government are
already using joint ventures with foreigners for many of their investments and
manufacturing facilities.
Probably the industries where we
have the largest opportunities are in agricultural processing and in- bound
tourism. By way of example our
facilities in relation to inbound tourism are underdeveloped and could be
funded thorough large scale improved infrastructure. But other Industries should not be
overlooked such as utility networks, telecommunications, transportation systems
-tollways, expressways, airports, rail, shipping, waste management facilities,
health, education, finance, environmental pollution control, building low-cost
housing and eco-tourism.
2 comments:
Although I have no knowledge of the Australian economy, your ideas appear to be based on sound principles that could be usefully applied to most governments with which I am familiar. I'll hope your national leaders are paying some attention to your suggestions, Lindsay.
Thanks Susan
I noticed a similar article today by Catherine Livingstone, who is chairperson of the Business Council of Australia. I sent off an endorsing letter to the AFR.
Best wishes
Post a Comment